Geelong VS Brisbane Lions

• Geelong (-1.5 Points) Handicap

There is no doubt Geelong have an advantage at home, having won 16 of their last 19 matches at GMHBA Stadium. Brisbane have not won a match at GMHBA Stadium in their last 12 matches here.

• Total Points (Over +166.5)

These two teams have been involved in low scoring clashes over the past few seasons. However, Eight of the last nine Geelong games have gone over on total points while the Lions have been the highest scoring team in the comp so far this year.

• Lachie Neale Under (26.5 Disposals)

Mark O’Connor comes into the side for Geelong who is known to be a tigger, especially against Brisbane Lions aiming on Lachie Neale. Because of this tag, Lachie Neale is yet to reach 30 disposals against Geelong. He averages 20 disposals in his 2 matches against the Cats last year.

• Jeremy Cameron 2+ Goals

Jeremy Cameron has booted 9 goals in his last three games against th Lions including a four goal haul in the most recent, Round 15 last season. He was everywhere last week and I think he continues his hot form at home.

Value Picks

• Jeremy Cameron most goals
• Cameron Guthrie most disposals